US Crime Decline Debate

The cluster debates the long-term decline in US crime rates over decades, supported by FBI, Pew, and Wikipedia data, while addressing recent post-pandemic spikes and theories like lead exposure from gasoline.

📉 Falling 0.5x Politics & Society
3,129
Comments
20
Years Active
5
Top Authors
#9794
Topic ID

Activity Over Time

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Keywords

NY US WSJ BS CCTV www.bbc HN co.uk U.S IQ crime violent crime violent lead 2022 rates 2020 rise ago crimes

Sample Comments

enraged_camel Mar 27, 2017 View on HN

Not necessarily. Crime as a whole has been decreasing.https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel/press-releases/fbi-release...

iambateman Jul 24, 2025 View on HN

Can you source that fact? I'm seeing both violent and property crime as statistically way down over the few decades.

therealdrag0 Jun 8, 2020 View on HN

Hasn't crime declined in a lot of places though? What's the control?

JohnWhigham Jul 28, 2021 View on HN

Bit of a stretch, but I think it can be attributed to the overall reduction in crime since the early 90s, most likely brought upon by the elimination of lead in gasoline.

philwelch Aug 29, 2010 View on HN

Crime wasn't always an imaginary problem in this country. In fact, not too long ago it was a major problem (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_the_United_States). Right now we have almost half the level of violent crime and homicide we had about 20 years ago. Some cities, like New York, had even higher crime rates in the 80's and 90's compared to now than the country as a whole.

rafale Oct 9, 2021 View on HN

Haven't we seen a decline in violence and crime during that same period... I wonder if there is correlation, or even causation.

noobermin Jul 3, 2016 View on HN

I have to wonder, this largely seems to have coincided with the fantastic decrease in crime since the 2000's onwards. Coincidence?I largely agree with the article. This needs to be lauded and discussed.

koyote Jun 11, 2024 View on HN

Please don't throw wild vague claims around without substantiating with data/sources.Crime has decreased pretty much everywhere over the last three decades. I am sure there are pockets in the world where it hasn't, but those would be the exception.[https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rates-across-wes...]

outside1234 Jun 25, 2025 View on HN

Crime is also way down over the last 20 years:https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/04/24/what-the-...

superkuh Apr 14, 2024 View on HN

Continuing the 30 year trend in decreasing violent crime that only briefly pushed back up during the start of the pandemic, ref: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_the_United_States#Cri... . Nowhere near the highs of the late 1970s/1980s/very early 90s. Unfortunately this WSJ article is behind a paywall.