Tesla Autopilot Safety

Directly from Tesla<<In the 1st quarter, we registered one accident for every 4.68 million miles driven in which drivers had Autopilot engaged. For those driving without Autopilot but with our active safety features, we registered one accident for every 1.99 million miles driven. For those driving without Autopilot and without our active safety features, we registered one accident for every 1.42 million miles driven. By comparison, NHTSA’s most recent data shows that in the United State

Note: Tesla is comparing the fatality rate of autopilot-equipped cars with the average accident rate. They are NOT only counting miles where autopilot is used, they are counting all miles driven by their cars. It could be that Tesla drivers are inherently safer than the general population, or that the cars themselves are much safer. What they are not doing (at least with the data) is making a statistical claim about autopilot safety.

There is no conclusive study either way. The only real data we have is the two confirmed deaths in Autopilot accidents in over a billion miles driven with Autopilot. That is not enough data to draw a definitive conclusion, but it at the very least shows that there is not a huge problem that makes it dramatically more dangerous.For comparison the overall casualty rate for the average car in the US is somewhere near 12 deaths per 1 billion miles driven.I wouldn't say that Tesla's

What's the source for this claim? Are you accounting for the fact different classes of vehicle have differing accident statistics (e.g. comparing teslas to similarly old and expensive alternatives), and that autopilot's miles are not a random sample of all driven miles?

> This is important because Autopilot has proven itself to be safer than a human driver by a significant degree: a crash only occurs with Autopilot engaged approximately every 2.87 million miles, as opposed to traditional cars being manually driven which results in a crash every 436,000 miles.This is an extraordinarily deceptive statistic, since it compares:- Predominantly highway miles (driven on Autopilot) to miles driven in the overall mix of conditions where incidents are much more

The 94 million mile mean is for all types of driving, in all types of situations, all types of people, in all types of cars.First and foremost, highway driving is much much much safer than regular driving. There are no intersections (which cause 40% of all accidents), there is high viability, slow turns, no pedestrians, and a super simple traffic pattern. Autopilot is only doing the "easy" driving.Second, that 94 million miles figure includes motorcycle deaths. Motorcycles have 3

citation needed. notice how incident per mile statistic where quickly submerged by Tesla around their fourth autopilot death. also note how autopilot are currently d enabled in the less risky part of the journey. also notice how autopilot stat in most articles are compared toward national averages, which include older car with less safety features and bikes.

and tesla's on autopilot are ~9x safer than human drivers (humans get into a car crash every 500,000 miles, teslas on autopilot every 4,500,500 miles) source https://cleantechnica.com/2020/08/01/tesla-autopilot-acciden...

Tesla releases the miles per crash rates quarterly, for autopilot and non autopilot cases. Autopilot crashes include anything within 5 seconds of disengagement. The human rate tends to be more than 2x worse than the autopilot rate. This is not normalized for factors like road context.The human rate for tesla driven miles tends to be ~4x better than the other brands' average. To precisely answer this question you would want to see both a comparable brand's humans' performance; a

What about "safety level substantially greater than that of a human driver" being the keyword?Isn't Tesla's autopilot doing better than humans do in the same number of miles? We just all hear about it every time a Tesla is in a crash. If we heard about every human driver car accident, it would be overwhelming.edit:from this article: https:&#x