AGI Timeline Debate
The cluster focuses on discussions about whether AGI is imminent, featuring predictions, skepticism, evidence from recent AI advancements, and debates on timelines ranging from soon to decades away.
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What evidence is there that AGI will come “soon”?
Let's achieve AGI first before making predictions.
This feels like a strong sign that AGI is quite close now
Maybe we are getting close to AGI then
when do you think we will reach AGI?
How about Sam Altman literally saying on twitter "We know how to build AGI now"? That close enough?
I thought we were going to have AGI by now.
Your argument is based on AGI, something we have no idea if will ever happen, and most likely nearly as close as you think.
Are there some people here in HN believing in AGI "soonish" ?
"And AGI could happen in the coming year.""People who talk like this are idiotic at best."