AI Replacing Programmers

There's no doubt that some programmer's jobs will start to disappear. Think about how many web devs/ html jockeys are no longer needed because word press or 100 other web publishing platforms are easy enough for non pgmrs to use. How long will a million programmers write custom software instead of just packaging apps? Today, places like Microsoft, Apple, Facebook, Amazon have a lot of programmers writing custom apps. And lots of other companies - eventually I think we'll need

You will no longer need to code to be a programmer. I give it 5 years max 10 years. They say software will eat the world. I did not expect software to come after software coders but I guess they are also part of the world. They are the largest expense as well as the fastest growing expense on most of the worlds largest companies balance sheet so replacing them would save billions.

Software is only going to become more ubiquitous, programmers won't run out, they'll just shift up to higher level abstractions and more diagnostic/administrative work. Think "AI doctor" and "AI manager" rather than code slinger.

> I think we will still need software devs, but not as many as we do today.There is already another reply referencing Jevons Paradox, so I won't belabor that point. Instead, let me give an analogy. Imagine programmers today are like scribes and monks of 1000 years ago, and are considering the impact of the printing press. Only 5% of the population knew how to read & write, so the scribes and monks felt like they were going to be replaced. What happened is the "job" of

Computer programming is inherently a skill that tends towards full automation like any other field of labor simply because of exponential increases in efficiencies and scale. If one programmer can do the job of 5 programmers because the level of automation and the number of available tools allows him to, then the total number of programmers able to enter the market for programming will diminish unless demand for programmers rises at the same or higher rate of automation (a trend that has never o

In the past, when tools that significantly increased developer productivity emerged, like higher level languages (C, Java, Python), better IDEs, or better access to help (e.g. StackOverflow), the demand for more software has outpaced any decrease in demand for developers due to productivity improvements.I'm not saying I know that's going to continue forever, but it might. If the cost to produce software goes down, the demand for software will increase. That's what has always ha

That is the billion-dollar question.My take: The market for "Coders" will shrink, but the market for "Problem Solvers who use Logic" will explode.Think of "Scribes" (people who wrote letters for others) in the past. When literacy became universal, the job of "Scribe" vanished. But the amount of writing in the world increased billion-fold.Engineering is becoming the new literacy. We won't be "Engineers" anymore; we will just b

Oh no. This author appears to have imagined some kool aid to drink.No one's job is actively going away. What's happening is job-role compression - no longer are there "pure coder" roles. You can think of it the same way as there's no longer an IT team in the depths of the company - nowadays the company has many SaaS products strung together with APIs, and the office manager is part-time IT as one of their many roles. They do point-and-click to perform onboarding/

My guess is it's sooner than later. First to go would be UI programmers and automation testers. Last would probably be the hardware interfacing engineers like embedded etc. May be writing code manually would be equivalent of using punch cards or artisan bread :)Frankly I feel like we are looking at this the wrong way. In the future we might not even have a way to program some things manually. There might be a llm for each device that generates necessary hardware instructions on the fly l

I know for sure that we are not going to lose our jobs to it, because it still takes a lot of knowledge to check, fix, and deploy code ,and especially complex one.It also is so that it often takes a lot more time to accurately describe the problem and the solution you want to in natural language, than it takes to just write the algorithm yourself.What is very likely to happen is that there will be fewer positions since a lot of hirings only happened because there was a software hype, resul