Bayesian Priors Debate

Discussions revolve around the role of Bayesian priors in reasoning, belief updating, scientific analysis, and arguments, including criticisms of dogmatic priors and defenses of Bayesian approaches.

📉 Falling 0.3x Science
1,709
Comments
20
Years Active
5
Top Authors
#7088
Topic ID

Activity Over Time

2007
1
2008
10
2009
28
2010
25
2011
44
2012
54
2013
54
2014
76
2015
70
2016
145
2017
89
2018
101
2019
154
2020
156
2021
145
2022
135
2023
168
2024
151
2025
93
2026
10

Keywords

ESP TLDR countbayesie.com DL priors prior bayesian bayes probability observation evidence update estimate uncertainty

Sample Comments

Onavo • Nov 1, 2024 • View on HN

Seems like the Bayesian owner needs to re-examine his priors.

mikexstudios • Mar 28, 2015 • View on HN

Original source: http://www.countbayesie.com/blog/2015/2/18/hans-solo-and-bay...

jldugger • Jan 31, 2021 • View on HN

:thinking-face: Wouldn't any truly bayesian analysis hinge on the priors?

strangecasts • Jan 26, 2025 • View on HN

Prior probability estimates are not part of science?

yunohn • Dec 9, 2022 • View on HN

Why are you making an argument with “Bayesian priors”? This doesn’t make it more convincing…

ahh • Jun 1, 2011 • View on HN

Consider prior probabilities and Bayes' rule.

pulisse • Oct 23, 2017 • View on HN

Under what circumstances do you update your priors?

gdy • May 29, 2023 • View on HN

It's comical that you called it 'bayesian prior' and now say you'll never update probabilities.

otabdeveloper4 • Oct 6, 2024 • View on HN

Why not? Whatever your bayesian priors are, they certainly don't match mine.

torstenvl • Feb 11, 2022 • View on HN

When you say "unlikely," do you mean according to your Bayesian priors or according to an analysis you'd like to share with us?