Bayesian Priors Debate

Discussions revolve around the role of Bayesian priors in reasoning, belief updating, scientific analysis, and arguments, including criticisms of dogmatic priors and defenses of Bayesian approaches.

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Keywords

ESP TLDR countbayesie.com DL priors prior bayesian bayes probability observation evidence update estimate uncertainty

Sample Comments

Onavo Nov 1, 2024 View on HN

Seems like the Bayesian owner needs to re-examine his priors.

mikexstudios Mar 28, 2015 View on HN

Original source: http://www.countbayesie.com/blog/2015/2/18/hans-solo-and-bay...

jldugger Jan 31, 2021 View on HN

:thinking-face: Wouldn't any truly bayesian analysis hinge on the priors?

strangecasts Jan 26, 2025 View on HN

Prior probability estimates are not part of science?

yunohn Dec 9, 2022 View on HN

Why are you making an argument with “Bayesian priors”? This doesn’t make it more convincing…

ahh Jun 1, 2011 View on HN

Consider prior probabilities and Bayes' rule.

pulisse Oct 23, 2017 View on HN

Under what circumstances do you update your priors?

gdy May 29, 2023 View on HN

It's comical that you called it 'bayesian prior' and now say you'll never update probabilities.

otabdeveloper4 Oct 6, 2024 View on HN

Why not? Whatever your bayesian priors are, they certainly don't match mine.

torstenvl Feb 11, 2022 View on HN

When you say "unlikely," do you mean according to your Bayesian priors or according to an analysis you'd like to share with us?