Facebook's Decline Predictions

Comments debate whether Facebook is dying or will soon lose dominance, drawing parallels to fallen social networks like MySpace and AOL while citing its user base, acquisitions, and network effects as reasons for potential survival.

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Sample Comments

HWR_14 Mar 23, 2022 View on HN

Something like 1/3 of the world uses FB. Do you really see it dying soon?

modarts Oct 10, 2012 View on HN

Facebook will not be around for decades.

Trezoid Apr 24, 2012 View on HN

I completely agree. Facebook is providing a platform in a market that has always been extremely volatile, and are using their position to make questionable decisions. It will back-fire eventually.Personally, I can't honestly see facebook being nearly as central in 5 years time, if it exists at all. Some hot new thing will come along and do sharing better and everyone will jump all at once.

mgutz Jul 5, 2011 View on HN

Nobody stays king for long. Social networking sites are only good until the next best thing. I'll bet a good dollar within 5 years Facebook will lose much of its popularity. Then Google+, ... In the meantime, Facebook will do little things like this to slow the exodus. Is anybody really that attached to Facebook?

Yetanfou Apr 6, 2018 View on HN

No, let them dig their own grave. The more they monitor, the more users will abandon them. Once they've lost enough users to limit the network effect their decline will be like that of Myspace. Facebook the company will probably survive due to their other assets - Instagram, Whatsapp and whatever they manage to buy in the mean time - but Facebook the product is destined for the graveyard where it should be buried in unconsecrated ground with a stake through its heart.

wand3r Jul 2, 2020 View on HN

In some ways they have though, at least in terms of time allocation. When Facebook was in its heyday it was the default social network. They dont seem to be adding as many new users and I suspect they are churning old users. They also have to compete with wechat, twitter, tiktok, reddit, twitch, etc so its not obvious to anyone but facebook how loyal the userbase is.Facebook is becoming less relevant so yes these companies will most likely be back, but what about 5 years? They might not be wi

gonmf Sep 27, 2018 View on HN

I think platforms like Facebook depend on being "cool" over some demographic. Then other demographics adopt it, time passes, other demographics grow tired of the same old Facebook look their parents also used, and Facebook starts to die. We've seen this as well with other social networks like hi5, myspace, that once dominated entire continents as the preferred social website. Of course they are smart and competent people so they will try to prevent it, and it seems to have lasted

ravenstine Apr 11, 2018 View on HN

Facebook is already dying. Why even bother?

soundpuppy Mar 23, 2018 View on HN

Facebook won't die by a movement like this, it'll die when users adopt alternatives.

imx Mar 27, 2011 View on HN

There won't be any "facebook killer", instead the entire social netowrking buzz will gradually cool off over time. Facebook will remain the center piece "hub" of social networking, while audience interest will shift towards niche sites and apps, and most of them will be heavily integrated with / rely upon fb's api...