Aviation Safety Debate
Discussions center on the statistical safety of commercial air travel compared to driving and other transport, emphasizing low crash risks despite rare catastrophic events, media hype, and regulatory concerns around Boeing 737 incidents.
Activity Over Time
Top Contributors
Keywords
Sample Comments
Good call out. It’s generally very safe, but when it goes wrong, it’s catastrophic. Grandparent’s comment feels out of touch - looking at it from another lens: flying is generally safe but there is a certain unique set of circumstances that cause catastrophic failure and plane crashes. Do you just ignore the process and materials improvements because that certain set of events is super rare? No, you include the improvement in your process. That attitude has allowed FAA and Airlines in general to
Keep in mind the context of this conversation is about regulation, not about individual decision making.From an individual stand-point, you are correct: "will my flight crash?" is a question that the individual would ask. But from a regulatory stand-point, the question is, "what is the safest way to transport people?" and those questions are not the same statistically.This is similar to Taleb's "black swans" conundrum. You're comparing likely event
My advice is to look at the statistics. Commercial flying is much, much safer than any other mode of transport.Do you get scared when you drive to work? Or take a train? Both are more risky. (Driving significantly so.)More specifically... The pilots have extensive training, modern airliners have fail safes everywhere, and the amount of research and engineering spent on aviation safety is mind boggling.See: <a href="http://airlines.org/dataset/safety-record-of-
I’m neither naive nor misleading. By any measure, airline travel - particularly in the US - is remarkably safe.https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/13/colgan-air-crash-10-years-ag...
Is flying getting less safe, or are incidents just getting more attention?
wait so, because similar planes have not had failures yet, i should accept risk of death for airline profitability?
Fact is: there are around 10,000 737s around, each if them starts and lands multiple times a day, by far mostly without problems. Risk is similar to you slipping while getting out of bed in the morning or being overrun while crossing a street. (Excluding Max versions, which are grounded)
Don't pay attention to the news. It reports statistically rare events that are unlikely to affect you. Pay attention to the statistics[0,1,2]. US aviation is still remarkably safe[3]. Just don't be this guy[4].[0] http://ipa-world.org/society-resources/code/images/95b1494-L...[1] <a href="https:/&
There's a very long way to go before safety is comparable. Last time I looked into it, you have better odds skydiving from a small plane than landing in it.
Why? Because 2 737s went down in the past few years? Do you know how many successful flights have been completed in the past few years? Would you rather drive? do you know how many people die in car accidents everyday? Over 3000. But it doesn't make the news because by definition it isn't new, it happens every day.