VC Failure Rates

The cluster focuses on the venture capital investment model, where high failure rates among portfolio companies are expected and necessary, with a few major successes driving overall returns, often debated against benchmarks like the S&P 500.

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2,673
Comments
20
Years Active
5
Top Authors
#4935
Topic ID

Activity Over Time

2007
32
2008
56
2009
79
2010
123
2011
109
2012
168
2013
207
2014
146
2015
192
2016
166
2017
156
2018
140
2019
167
2020
197
2021
105
2022
158
2023
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2024
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2025
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2026
6

Keywords

IT US McClure IPO success.h index.php ROI YC GETS www.pwc vc returns vcs venture companies funding funds return investments invest

Sample Comments

far33d May 15, 2007 View on HN

For some reason if a VC dumps $10m each into 100 companies and none of them is very successful, it's part of the business. YC puts $15-20k into 20 companies and one has a (major) liquidity event and that's a failure? wtf?

ahelwer Aug 18, 2020 View on HN

The whole thesis of VC funds is to invest in many companies and have a few home runs drive returns. VC-backed companies failing is just the cost of doing business in a random extremistan world. For programmers it's as you say - either nothing, or at best "nothing to write home about". Unless you win the lottery.

scarface74 Mar 17, 2022 View on HN

Yes because the billions of VC money wasted every year where only 1 out of 10 companies will be successful is better?

cylinder Nov 17, 2014 View on HN

define success. most VC funds lose money every year.

shin_lao Jul 23, 2013 View on HN

Probably a reason why VC funded companies have a higher probability of failing...

Alleluja May 9, 2015 View on HN

Simple fact is that VCs at large had worse returns than S&P 500 in the past 10 years: http://pando.com/2013/07/30/ouch-ten-year-venture-returns-st...

samfisher83 Nov 17, 2015 View on HN

If you got in and made some of that money you wouldn't be complaining. Its the nature of VC. A lot of failures and a few big winners.

ww520 Aug 15, 2019 View on HN

VC don't care. It's expected that some investment will fail one way or the other. VC's investment approach is to invest in 10 startups and hoping one will hit it big.

zminjie Aug 29, 2018 View on HN

You are thinking from the perspective of an individual investor. For VCs, this kind of return is abysmal since it won't cover the 7/10 companies that went completely bust. In order to VCs to take high risks on early stage companies, they need the winners to return 100x so the fund even makes financial sense. It's one of the main reasons why VCs constantly push startups for hyper growth.This is certainly better than losing the investment completely but I can't imagine the i

deepnotderp Aug 24, 2021 View on HN

The entire point of VC is a high failure rate and lots of failures with a few breakaway successes.