Tech Timeline Skepticism

Comments estimate and debate the years or decades until a hyped technology becomes market-ready, often mocking repeated '2-5 years away' claims from past promises.

πŸ“‰ Falling 0.4x Science
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Keywords

NPR marketplace.org LNG HN years away 10 years decades 10 away 15 years technology years time development completion

Sample Comments

ohitsdom β€’ Aug 19, 2015 β€’ View on HN

Let me guess: 3-5 years from hitting the market?

panabee β€’ Jun 11, 2014 β€’ View on HN

how many years away until you expect the technology to hit markets?

toephu2 β€’ Dec 12, 2020 β€’ View on HN

Will probably take 10+ years to build?

SmellyGeekBoy β€’ Sep 12, 2018 β€’ View on HN

...and it's "5-10 years away", just like all the others we've been hearing about for the past 15 years.

CrankyPants β€’ Oct 14, 2013 β€’ View on HN

It's been two to three years away for about ten to fifteen years now.You're right, but just don't expect it to be there in two to three years.

allears β€’ Nov 24, 2025 β€’ View on HN

Maybe 5 years from now if we're lucky and if we can afford them. Too many breathless articles like this one that end up saying "still in development."

coolvision β€’ Jan 10, 2021 β€’ View on HN

Unfortunately, it's probably still in relatively far future, ~10-20 yrs...

zaptrem β€’ Jan 23, 2022 β€’ View on HN

Based on their development roadmaps, potentially not for decades.

wahnfrieden β€’ Jan 31, 2024 β€’ View on HN

It’s the product vision. But progress is slow reportedly because of physical and current scientific tech limits. Their product vision could take another 10-30 years.

pkd β€’ Sep 18, 2021 β€’ View on HN

If past is an indicator, it might take upto 30 years for it to be operational.