Doomsday Predictions Skepticism

I propose a "this doomsday does not exist" corollary to this project:- this dark age does not exist (viz. the fall of the Roman empire)- this ice age does not exist (viz. the host of ice age scares from the late 60's to 80's)- this apocalypse does not exist (viz. Mayan end of ages, comet scares, ...)- this world famine does not exist (viz. Paul Ehrlich's entire oeuvre/eschatology)- this nuclear holocaust does not exist (...yet?)- this Siberian clim

So you're literally predicting the end of the world. Great.

Predicting a future of devestation. You would think we would be past buying into that ruse by now.

This is why I'm sceptical of any doomsday scenario. Too many times they turned out to be damp squibs. Think population bomb, peak oil etc.

It's unfortunate that 'doomsday' will remain.In society there will always be the Y2K and Mayan Calendar people. Climate change is a much more reliable source compared to some ancient Mayans.There are also ideologues pushing a political position. Saying that the world ends in X years unless you do what I say is not going to go away.There are people justifying their rent. Give me grant money and I'll say the world ends in X years.

I'm not sure what doomsday scenarios and failed predictions you're referring to but even though for some reason it feels otherwise to you evidence and argument is quite solid.Seems you may be victim of a bias of some kind here[1], or have been exposed to some misinformation of some kind.[1]: https://youaren

The future of the planet cannot depend on anyone's predictions -- that's a category error.What you are referring to is "consensus", e.g. gatekeeping. This is similar to the deplatforming crisis. For some reason a lot of people are convinced that things like opinions or predictions are going to destroy their lives, or the planet, etc, who knows, perhaps even justice and gravity are at risk. It would help everyone to gain some more perspective and lay off the world-ending rh

it's a hard sell for skeptics because basically every major politically-charged doom-and-gloom x-years-from-now climate change prediction has ended up not coming to pass thus far[0]. obviously it's not like it's literally impossible for such a scenario to occur but at some point when a boy cries wolf enough times over the decades it's hard to take any headline phrased like this one immediately seriously at face value.[0] <a href="https://extinctionclock.org/

But then you have things likehttps://www.aei.org/carpe-diem/50-years-of-failed-doomsday-e...which call out dozens of warnings over the past 50+ years, and seemingly didn't come true. Now some are still years off being 'done', but the tone of the piece (and many others like it) is that

> The problem with predictions like this is that this prediction will look silly in 4 years when the Earth has not endedCan you explain why people like you who come here to post "the world won't end in 4 years" consistently do not read the article, and consistently set the bar at "literally the oblate sphereoid we are on explodes" as opposed to "the climate is so radically different it threatens every aspect of human society and triggers even more mass extinct