Self-Driving Timeline Skepticism

The cluster discusses repeated promises that fully self-driving cars are just 2-5 years away, a claim persisting for over a decade, with widespread skepticism about timelines from companies like Tesla.

📉 Falling 0.5x AI & Machine Learning
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Keywords

AI IV self driving driving driving cars self driving cars cars self years away autonomous fully away

Sample Comments

mattgreenrocks Jul 24, 2025 View on HN

Fully self-driving cars have been just 2 years away for what, 10 years now?

suyash Mar 20, 2015 View on HN

I thought self driving cars were 5 years away.

dreamcompiler Oct 1, 2019 View on HN

I had the same reaction. "self-driving cars will eventually be everywhere" is true, but that "eventually" is a long time away.

lawn Dec 4, 2024 View on HN

Self driving only 2 years away, for a decade now.

claytonjy Nov 6, 2022 View on HN

saying "self driving cars are 2 years away" for the last 5+ years sticks out to me

floathub Sep 6, 2021 View on HN

In 2031, fully self driving cars will be just as imminent as they are now :-)

nuancebydefault Mar 28, 2023 View on HN

Self driving cars are not fully autonomous yet. It took longer than expected/promised, but we are only a few years away from that. Mind that technology in cars on average is 10 years behind on technology in advanced consumer products like cell phones, because of safety regulations and number of components involved. Some componies try to shortcut that lag with mixed results. But it is just lag. Delivery bots are a fact today already.

mattgreenrocks Sep 27, 2024 View on HN

Self-driving cars have been 3-5 years away for what, a decade now?

clouddrover Sep 12, 2023 View on HN

Full Self-Driving next year! Just like the last 10 years!

sandos Jan 23, 2025 View on HN

Same as self-driving cars 10 years ago? Yeah...